洛陽(yáng)鉬業(yè)半日跌2.58% 德銀升評(píng)級(jí)至持有

　　德意志銀行將洛陽(yáng)鉬業(yè)(6.03,0.06,1.01%)(03993-HK)的評(píng)級(jí)從賣(mài)出調(diào)高至持有，將目標(biāo)價(jià)從2.20港元調(diào)高至5.60港元，因考慮到鋼鐵需求及產(chǎn)量在2010-2011財(cái)年進(jìn)一步復(fù)蘇的預(yù)期，此前將2010-2011財(cái)年收益預(yù)期分別調(diào)高69%和58%，該行大幅調(diào)高了近期及長(zhǎng)期的預(yù)測(cè)鉬價(jià)。

　　德意志銀行稱(chēng)，今年迄今為止大大強(qiáng)于預(yù)期的中國(guó)鋼鐵產(chǎn)量使得2009財(cái)年的鉬需求及價(jià)格大大高于預(yù)期；預(yù)計(jì)鉬價(jià)在2009財(cái)年剩余時(shí)間將保持在當(dāng)前水平甚至更高。盡管預(yù)計(jì)2009-2011財(cái)年的收益復(fù)合年增量為59%，但該行認(rèn)為該股估值已經(jīng)充分，相當(dāng)于2010財(cái)年預(yù)測(cè)市盈率20倍以及2010財(cái)年價(jià)格與帳面價(jià)值比2.4倍。另外，盡管管理層證實(shí)正在與幾個(gè)潛在的新鉬礦收購(gòu)目標(biāo)進(jìn)行談判，但其自IPO以來(lái)的收購(gòu)記錄令人失望，使該行難以想像其能夠很快取得重大進(jìn)展。

　　洛陽(yáng)鉬業(yè)上午收跌2.58%，報(bào)6.05港元。

Collected By Hanns from www.Tungsten.com.cn                                                                       

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